Week 13 Selections

Running out of time, so here's the picks

Detroit -7 over Chicago

Philadelphia +3 over Dallas

Seattle +1 over San Francisco

Indianapolis -9.5 over Washington

Houston -6.5 over Tennessee

Buffalo -1.5 over Cleveland

Baltimore -4.5 over San Diego

NY Giants -2 over Jacksonville

Tampa Bay +3.5 over Cincinnati

St. Louis -7 over Oakland

Pittsburgh -3 over New Orleans

Minnesota -3 over Carolina

Arizona -2.5 over Atlanta

New England +3 over Green Bay

Kansas City +1 over Denver

Miami -4.5 over NY Jets

Week 11 Recap, and Week 12 Selections

I'm a bit late for this week as I've been away, but thought I would post picks anyways since the games are still early, and I haven't seen any scores yet.

Week 12
Kansas City -7 over Oakland
Atlanta -3 over Cleveland
Philadelphia -10.5 over Tennessee
New England -7 over Detroit
Green Bay -9.5 over Minnesota
Jacksonville +13.5 over Indianapolis
Houston -2 over Cincinnati
Buffalo -2 over NY Jets
Tampa Bay +6 over Chicago
Arizona +6.5 over Seattle
St. Louis +5.5 over San Diego
Miami +7 over Denver
San Francisco -8.5 over Washington
NY Giants +3 over Dallas
Baltimore +4 over New Orleans

Week 10 Recap, and Week 11 Selections

Rebounded a little bit last week going 7-6.  Didn't realize until it was too late that the Dallas/Jacksonville game was in London - removing the HFA from Jacksonville and making it neutral actually would have made Dallas the pick, so we would've been 8-5.

Year-to-date we are 21-19-1 (53%).  Hopefully we have a stronger showing this week.  I'm going to add a new component this week, underlining games that have a high degree of confidence.

Week 11
Miami -6 over Buffalo
Cleveland -3 over Houston
Minnesota +3.5 over Chicago
Philadelphia +6 over Green Bay
Kansas City -1 over Seattle
Atlanta +2.5 over Carolina
New Orleans -6.5 over Cincinnati
Washington -7 over Tampa Bay
Denver -10 over St. Louis
NY Giants +4.5 over San Francisco
Oakland +10 over San Diego
Arizona -1.5 over Detroit
New England +3 over Indianapolis
Pittsburgh -5 over Tennessee

Week 9 Recap, and Week 10 Selections

Somehow I knew that as soon as I decided to start posting on here things would go downhill.  We went 6-7 in Week 9, putting us at 14-13-1 total.  Here are this week's picks:

Week 10
Cincinnati -6 over Cleveland
Jacksonville +5 over Dallas
Miami +3 over Detroit
Kansas City -1.5 over Buffalo
New Orleans -4 over San Francisco
Baltimore -9.5 over Tennessee
Pittsburgh -4.5 over NY Jets
Atlanta PK over Tampa Bay
Denver -11.5 over Oakland
Arizona -7 over St. Louis
NY Giants +9 over Seattle
Green Bay -7 over Chicago
Philadelphia -6 over Carolina

Week 8 Recap, and Week 9 Selections

Week 8 started out well for us, sitting at 7-2-1 going into the 4:00 games on Sunday.  Unfortunately, we didn't close well, and finished at 8-6-1.  But hey, there's nothing wrong with a winning record.

Week 9
Carolina +2.5 over New Orleans
San Diego +2 over Miami
Jacksonville +11.5 over Cincinnati
Cleveland -6.5 over Tampa Bay
Washington +2.5 over Minnesota
Philadelphia -2.5 over Houston
Kansas City -9.5 over NY Jets
Arizona +4 over Dallas
San Francisco -9.5 over St. Louis
Denver -3 over New England
Oakland +15 over Seattle
Baltimore PK over Pittsburgh
Indianapolis -3 over NY Giants

Welcome, and Week 8 Selections

Over the past year, I have been working on developing a statistical model to help predict the outcomes of NFL games.  The model has undergone several iterations, but I find myself comfortable enough with the results I have seen on the current model, that I am prepared to begin posting my selections online for your viewing.  While I cannot prove this, through Week 7 of the 2014 NFL season, I have been selecting winners ATS with a 58% success rate.

The odds I will use in these postings will be the "consensus" odds posted on VegasInsider.com, at whatever time I make my selections.  Here we go!

Week 8

Denver -6.5 over San Diego

Detroit -3.5 over Atlanta

Minnesota +3 over Tampa Bay

New England -6.5 over Chicago

Kansas City -6 over St. Louis

Carolina +4 over Seattle

Buffalo +3 over NY Jets

Miami -5 over Jacksonville

Houston -2 over Tennessee

Baltimore +2.5 over Cincinnati

Philadelphia +2.5 over Arizona

Indianapolis -1.5 over Pittsburgh

Cleveland -7 over Oakland

Green Bay +1.5 over New Orleans

Dallas -9.5 over Washington