Tuesday, 28 October 2014

Week 8 Recap, and Week 9 Selections

Week 8 started out well for us, sitting at 7-2-1 going into the 4:00 games on Sunday.  Unfortunately, we didn't close well, and finished at 8-6-1.  But hey, there's nothing wrong with a winning record.

Week 9
Carolina +2.5 over New Orleans
San Diego +2 over Miami
Jacksonville +11.5 over Cincinnati
Cleveland -6.5 over Tampa Bay
Washington +2.5 over Minnesota
Philadelphia -2.5 over Houston
Kansas City -9.5 over NY Jets
Arizona +4 over Dallas
San Francisco -9.5 over St. Louis
Denver -3 over New England
Oakland +15 over Seattle
Baltimore PK over Pittsburgh
Indianapolis -3 over NY Giants

Tuesday, 21 October 2014

Welcome, and Week 8 Selections

Over the past year, I have been working on developing a statistical model to help predict the outcomes of NFL games.  The model has undergone several iterations, but I find myself comfortable enough with the results I have seen on the current model, that I am prepared to begin posting my selections online for your viewing.  While I cannot prove this, through Week 7 of the 2014 NFL season, I have been selecting winners ATS with a 58% success rate.

The odds I will use in these postings will be the "consensus" odds posted on VegasInsider.com, at whatever time I make my selections.  Here we go!

Week 8
Denver -6.5 over San Diego
Detroit -3.5 over Atlanta
Minnesota +3 over Tampa Bay
New England -6.5 over Chicago
Kansas City -6 over St. Louis
Carolina +4 over Seattle
Buffalo +3 over NY Jets
Miami -5 over Jacksonville
Houston -2 over Tennessee
Baltimore +2.5 over Cincinnati
Philadelphia +2.5 over Arizona
Indianapolis -1.5 over Pittsburgh
Cleveland -7 over Oakland
Green Bay +1.5 over New Orleans
Dallas -9.5 over Washington